Workforce Map & Simulator
sourced choropleth + first-order scenario modelEvery figure here is tied to a federal or primary source (BLS, DOL, Goodwill), labelled with its year. The simulator is a projection under stated assumptions, not a forecast: it computes only first-order effects (placements and their direct earnings), shows its full arithmetic, and lists what it does not account for. There is deliberately no economic multiplier — no “$1 becomes $3” claim.
Unemployment by state
National ~4.2% · tap a state△ Illustrative — pending refresh. Snapshot (July 2026) shaped like real LAUS output but not exact-per-state. Refresh from BLS LAUS before quoting a figure.
Low· below ~3.5% — tighter labor market Moderate· ~3.5–4.5% — near national Elevated· above ~4.5% — more people seeking work
California▼ 5.4% · Elevatedvs national ~4.2%
Scenario simulator
A first-order projection. Coefficients start at their sourced defaults; adjust them and the math updates below. No economic multiplier is applied.
Projected placements
371
of 500 served
New annual earnings
$12,808,037
gross, first-order only
Effect on state unemployment
Not computed — no state labor-force denominator embedded. Not computed: per-state labor-force denominator not provided. Supply a state labor-force count (BLS LAUS) to estimate an upper-bound percentage-point effect.
Assumptions (the math)
- ·Placement rate = 74.1% (default: WIOA Adult national actual 74.1%, DOL PY2023).
- ·Placement wage = $16.62/hr (default: BLS OEWS May 2024 retail median $16.62).
- ·Full-time-equivalent hours = 2080/yr (40 hrs × 52 wks).
- ·Earnings = placed × wage × 2080. Gross earnings, before taxes and benefits.
- ·First-order only: no economic multiplier is applied.
△ What this does NOT account for
- △No economic multiplier — this reports only direct earnings, not induced or indirect activity.
- △Does not account for SUBSTITUTION: some placed workers displace others who would have taken the job.
- △Does not account for DISPLACEMENT: hiring in one firm can reduce hiring elsewhere.
- △Does not net out DEADWEIGHT: some participants would have found work anyway, without the program.
- △Does not model RETENTION: assumes a full year of full-time work; real placements churn (WIOA Q4 retention ~73%).
- △Assumes full-time, full-year hours; part-time or seasonal placements earn less.
- △Placement rate is a national context figure, not a local target; local results vary.
- △A projection under stated assumptions — NOT a forecast of what will happen.
Sources
- https://www.bls.gov/web/laus/laumstrk.htm
- https://www.bls.gov/cps/
- https://www.dol.gov/agencies/eta/performance/results/national
- https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes412031.htm
- https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes372011.htm
- https://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes311131.htm
- https://www.goodwill.org/
State unemployment snapshot is illustrative-pending-refresh; refresh from BLS LAUS before quoting. WIOA placement is a national actual, not a local target. Wages are BLS OEWS May 2024 medians.